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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 4 April 2009, at 10:34 p.m.

In Response To: Always big cubes with Ray ? (neilkaz)

Somewhat easier to take than I'd expected (noting that I thought this was close to .9)

The score (after 0 games) is: ray 0, neilkaz 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 5: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?


4X2X3X2X2X ' ' ' ' ' ' '

1X4O4O ' '1X ' ' ' ' ' '

Pip counts: ray 78, neilkaz 45
Position ID: b7cBgCDeAwAAAQ Match ID: UglgAQAAAAAA

• neilkaz doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.4881(Money: +0.4995)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.8061
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1939
3.No double +0.6919 -0.1143
Proper cube action:Redouble, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player neilkaz owns 4-cube0.72310.05130.0020-0.27690.00000.0000 +0.4881 +0.6919
Standard error0.00080.00060.0008-0.00080.00000.0000 0.0015 0.0029
Player ray owns 8-cube0.72300.05280.0036-0.27700.00000.0000 +0.9012 +0.8061
Standard error0.00080.00070.0011-0.00080.00000.0000 0.0032 0.0035
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1191 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821856050 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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