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A better Rollout?

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 10:38 a.m.

In Response To: Rollouts (Stick)

The score (after 0 games) is: Player 0 9, Player 1 6 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: Player 1 to play 14

Player 0	60
Player 1	102
Position ID: 2A0AgLZtAwQwAA Match ID: cIlwAZAAMAAA

• Player 1 moves 23/18

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.611	(Money: +0.610)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.844
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.156
3.	Double, take	+0.824	-0.021
Proper cube action:		No double, take (11.7%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.814 0.000 0.000 - 0.186 0.017 0.002 +0.611 +0.844 Standard error 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.004 Player Player 0 owns 2-cube 0.782 0.000 0.000 - 0.218 0.022 0.004 +0.824 +0.824 Standard error 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.006 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4562 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821468776 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.1 (min. 217 games)
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	4	23/18	+1.000
			0.867 0.000 0.000 - 0.133 0.006 0.000

Messages In This Thread

• Interesting Cube v. Ray
  Stick -- Monday, 6 April 2009, at 5:50 p.m.
  • Interesting Cube v. Ray
    Bill Riles -- Monday, 6 April 2009, at 6:03 p.m.
  • Interesting Cube v. Ray
    David Rockwell -- Monday, 6 April 2009, at 6:51 p.m.
  • Interesting Cube v. Ray
    neilkaz -- Monday, 6 April 2009, at 7:08 p.m.
  • Interesting Cube v. Ray
    Neil Robins -- Monday, 6 April 2009, at 9:02 p.m.
  • Interesting Cube v. Ray
    Coolrey -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 12:28 a.m.
  • Rollouts
    Stick -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 9:35 a.m.
    • Rollouts
      Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 10:12 a.m.
    • Rollouts
      Coolrey -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 10:13 a.m.
      • Rollouts
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 10:57 a.m.
        • Rollouts
          Coolrey -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 4:40 p.m.
          • Rollouts
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 7:46 p.m.
            • Rollouts
              Coolrey -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 8:56 p.m.
              • Rollouts
                Sam Pottle -- Wednesday, 8 April 2009, at 2:59 a.m.
                • Rollouts
                  Coolrey -- Wednesday, 8 April 2009, at 11:06 a.m.
      • Rollouts
        Stick -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 11:09 a.m.
        • Rollouts
          Coolrey -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 4:35 p.m.
          • Rollouts
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 7:33 p.m.
            • Rollouts
              Coolrey -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 8:26 p.m.
              • Rollouts
                Ian Shaw -- Wednesday, 8 April 2009, at 11:43 a.m.
                • Rollouts
                  Coolrey -- Wednesday, 8 April 2009, at 1:07 p.m.
                  • Rollouts
                    Stick -- Wednesday, 8 April 2009, at 2:12 p.m.
    • A better Rollout?
      Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 10:38 a.m.
    • Rollouts
      Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 1:38 p.m.
      • Rollouts
        Stick -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 1:39 p.m.
        • Rollouts
          Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 2:13 p.m.
          • Rollouts
            Stick -- Tuesday, 7 April 2009, at 2:31 p.m.