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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Hickey v. Stickey (Cleveland) #2 (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 9 April 2009, at 3:52 p.m.
Mary was trying to close in on a better cube OtB. There's too much action happening right now to wait. I would have guessed it's even a bigger cube than GNU has it. She rolled boxes and turned immediately too good...that'll teach her.
The score (after 0 games) is: Mary 0, Stick 0 (match to 11 points)
Move number 6: Mary on roll, cube decision?
Mary 143
Stick 148 Position ID: jGfiESCwb8EBBg Match ID: MAFgAQAAAAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.4994 (Money: +0.4939) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.7233 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.2767 3. No double +0.6881 -0.0352 Proper cube action: Double, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6491 0.2643 0.0126 - 0.3509 0.0776 0.0037 +0.4994 +0.6881 Standard error 0.0016 0.0021 0.0006 - 0.0016 0.0011 0.0003 0.0039 0.0101 Player Stick owns 2-cube 0.6505 0.2663 0.0124 - 0.3495 0.0783 0.0040 +1.0166 +0.7233 Standard error 0.0018 0.0024 0.0009 - 0.0018 0.0013 0.0004 0.0092 0.0130 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821171126 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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