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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 9 April 2009, at 3:52 p.m.

In Response To: Hickey v. Stickey (Cleveland) #2 (Stick)

Mary was trying to close in on a better cube OtB. There's too much action happening right now to wait. I would have guessed it's even a bigger cube than GNU has it. She rolled boxes and turned immediately too good...that'll teach her.

The score (after 0 games) is: Mary 0, Stick 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 6: Mary on roll, cube decision?

Mary143


1O ' ' '2X5X2X1X1O ' '4O

 ' '2O2X '4O '2O '1O '3X

Stick148

Position ID: jGfiESCwb8EBBg Match ID: MAFgAQAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.4994(Money: +0.4939)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.7233
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.2767
3.No double +0.6881 -0.0352
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.64910.26430.0126-0.35090.07760.0037 +0.4994 +0.6881
Standard error0.00160.00210.0006-0.00160.00110.0003 0.0039 0.0101
Player Stick owns 2-cube0.65050.26630.0124-0.34950.07830.0040 +1.0166 +0.7233
Standard error0.00180.00240.0009-0.00180.00130.0004 0.0092 0.0130
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821171126 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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