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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 10 April 2009, at 6:25 p.m.

In Response To: Money Cube (Stick)

I underestimated the power of White's position in both of these. I thought the cube was questionable here and the take was clear. There's too much counterplay possible for me to want to give this up.

Move number 3: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	147
user	157
Position ID: sOfgASjYtsEBMA Match ID: MAEAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5657
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.9660
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.0340
3.	No double	+0.8680	-0.0980
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6998 0.2384 0.0125 - 0.3002 0.0817 0.0032 +0.5657 +0.8680 Standard error 0.0017 0.0024 0.0008 - 0.0017 0.0012 0.0002 0.0045 0.0135 Player user owns 2-cube 0.7051 0.2487 0.0128 - 0.2949 0.0765 0.0038 +1.1826 +0.9660 Standard error 0.0020 0.0026 0.0010 - 0.0020 0.0013 0.0003 0.0103 0.0165
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1267 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821908356 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Money Cube
  Stick -- Thursday, 9 April 2009, at 3:58 p.m.
  • Money Cube
    David -- Thursday, 9 April 2009, at 5:21 p.m.
  • Money Cube
    pontiac -- Thursday, 9 April 2009, at 10:50 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Friday, 10 April 2009, at 6:25 p.m.
    • Rollout
      neilkaz -- Friday, 10 April 2009, at 10:08 p.m.