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OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 3:31 p.m.

In Response To: Blitz cube action from OH Masters Final (neilkaz)

OTB I felt that Rod's blockade gave him enough counterchances to make this only a borderline decision and I felt that there was no chance that he'd pass, so I failed to cube, which seems to be a mistake as I somewhat underestimated my chances here.

As usual I am having issues when exporting cube action problems from saved matches where the player failed to double and then rolled, since GNU wants to think it is also a checker play problem. I edit the HTML and this is the best I've been able to do so far.

The score (after 2 games) is: Rod Covlin 3, Neil Kazaross 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 10: Neil Kazaross on roll..Cube Action?

Pip counts: Rod Covlin 153, Neil Kazaross 138
Position ID: 4NuMAURhz4oBBg Match ID: cAluATAAAAAA

Alert: missed double ( -0.0812)! [bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4375	(Money: +0.4175)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.6964
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.3036
3.	No double	+0.6152	-0.0812
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6032 0.2944 0.0074 - 0.3968 0.0862 0.0045 +0.4375 +0.6152 Standard error 0.0013 0.0015 0.0003 - 0.0013 0.0013 0.0008 0.0035 0.0102 Player Rod Covlin owns 2-cube 0.6097 0.3038 0.0059 - 0.3903 0.0847 0.0062 +0.9678 +0.6964 Standard error 0.0016 0.0019 0.0004 - 0.0016 0.0016 0.0010 0.0086 0.0124
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1658 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821286952 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Blitz cube action from OH Masters Final
  neilkaz -- Friday, 10 April 2009, at 5:20 p.m.
  • Blitz cube action from OH Masters Final
    Bill Riles -- Friday, 10 April 2009, at 5:42 p.m.
  • Blitz cube action from OH Masters Final
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 10 April 2009, at 6:39 p.m.
  • Blitz cube action from OH Masters Final
    Coolrey -- Saturday, 11 April 2009, at 3:27 p.m.
  • OTB and rollout
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 3:31 p.m.
    • OTB and rollout
      dc-ohio -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 3:58 p.m.
      • Thx
        neilkaz -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 4:09 p.m.
        • No prob! *NM*
          dc-ohio -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 5:40 p.m.
    • OTB and rollout
      Coolrey -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 4:45 p.m.
      • OTB and rollout
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 10:19 p.m.
        • OTB and rollout
          neilkaz -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 11:36 p.m.
      • OTB and rollout
        rew -- Monday, 13 April 2009, at 11:27 a.m.
        • OTB and rollout
          Coolrey -- Monday, 13 April 2009, at 6:02 p.m.