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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 13 April 2009, at 11:50 a.m.

In Response To: OTB thoughts (neilkaz)

The score (after 2 games) is: Rod Covlin 3, Neil Kazaross 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 14: Neil Kazaross on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Rod Covlin 139, Neil Kazaross 124
Position ID: Yp+MAQrDnjYABg Match ID: cAlgATAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.9358	(Money: +0.9125)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+1.0690
2.	Double, take	+1.8503	+0.7813
3.	Double, pass	+1.0000	-0.0690
Proper cube action:		Too good to double, pass (8.1%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7317 0.4831 0.0338 - 0.2683 0.0646 0.0032 +0.9358 +1.0690 Standard error 0.0009 0.0013 0.0007 - 0.0009 0.0008 0.0003 0.0026 0.0051 Player Rod Covlin owns 2-cube 0.7371 0.4856 0.0326 - 0.2629 0.0609 0.0052 +2.0173 +1.8503 Standard error 0.0011 0.0015 0.0009 - 0.0011 0.0010 0.0007 0.0069 0.0089
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2813 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821092874 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• So did I suddenly become too good to double?
  neilkaz -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 3:35 p.m.
  • So did I suddenly become too good to double?
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 3:44 p.m.
  • So did I suddenly become too good to double?
    Coolrey -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 4:54 p.m.
  • So did I suddenly become too good to double?
    David Rockwell -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 9:51 p.m.
  • So did I suddenly become too good to double?
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 12 April 2009, at 10:22 p.m.
  • OTB thoughts
    neilkaz -- Monday, 13 April 2009, at 3:58 a.m.
    • Rollout
      neilkaz -- Monday, 13 April 2009, at 11:50 a.m.