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Rollout

Posted By: Tad Bright
Date: Thursday, 16 April 2009, at 6:44 p.m.

In Response To: Race and contact (rew)

Maybe use the 2 straggler and 1 straggler formula to get the pip counts.
71.5 vs 70.5 gives an ABCount ([(d+4)^2+(d+4)/7]/(L+T-25)) of .62.
9 roll vs 9 roll is about .66.
Rollout says about .64.
Maybe everything else balances out or is just noise?

The score (after 0 games) is: gnu 0, You 0

Move number 4: You on roll, cube decision?

gnu	45
You	49
Position ID: vzcAANDvNhABAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• You doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.184)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.287
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.525
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.475
3.	Double, take	+0.341	-0.184
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (27.9%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player You owns 2-cube 0.644 0.000 0.000 - 0.356 0.001 0.000 +0.287 +0.525 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 Player gnu owns 4-cube 0.643 0.000 0.000 - 0.357 0.001 0.000 +0.572 +0.341 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
46656 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818094730 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Messages In This Thread

• Race and contact
  rew -- Tuesday, 14 April 2009, at 8:46 a.m.
  • Race and contact
    Keene -- Tuesday, 14 April 2009, at 2:40 p.m.
  • Race and contact
    Tad Bright -- Tuesday, 14 April 2009, at 4:45 p.m.
    • 71.5 vs 70.5
      Tad Bright -- Tuesday, 14 April 2009, at 5:03 p.m.
    • Race and contact
      Ian Shaw -- Tuesday, 14 April 2009, at 5:05 p.m.
      • 4pt board = 7 effective pips!
        Tad Bright -- Tuesday, 14 April 2009, at 5:23 p.m.
      • Race and contact
        Philippe Michel -- Tuesday, 14 April 2009, at 6:55 p.m.
        • Race and contact
          Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 15 April 2009, at 1:17 a.m.
    • Race and contact
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 15 April 2009, at 1:20 a.m.
  • Contact?
    Tad Bright -- Tuesday, 14 April 2009, at 5:16 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Tad Bright -- Thursday, 16 April 2009, at 6:44 p.m.