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Rollout etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 18 April 2009, at 11:10 p.m.

In Response To: 4 away 3 away cube from Super JP QF's (neilkaz)

GNU on 2 and 4 ply think my cube is slightly too aggressive but the rollout clearly agrees with my double. I also took a look to see if I had a cube after my 41$ followed by his 32S and at this score it seems that I don't have it.

The score (after 0 games) is: Mailcolm 12, neilkaz 11 (match to 15 points)

Move number 3: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Mailcolm 156, neilkaz 153
Position ID: 4NvBAVCMZ+QBIQ Match ID: cAngAcAAWAAA

• neilkaz doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3613	(Money: +0.2700)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.7197
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2803
3.	No double	+0.6415	-0.0782
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.5849 0.2025 0.0141 - 0.4151 0.1046 0.0119 +0.3613 +0.6415 Standard error 0.0013 0.0015 0.0015 - 0.0013 0.0022 0.0018 0.0049 0.0099 Player Mailcolm owns 2-cube 0.5942 0.2099 0.0191 - 0.4058 0.1141 0.0210 +0.9696 +0.7197 Standard error 0.0017 0.0020 0.0018 - 0.0017 0.0031 0.0026 0.0114 0.0136
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1868 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818100983 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• 4 away 3 away cube from Super JP QF's
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 18 April 2009, at 6:19 a.m.
  • 4 away 3 away cube from Super JP QF's
    pontiac -- Saturday, 18 April 2009, at 10:59 a.m.
  • Thoughts OTB
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 18 April 2009, at 8:29 p.m.
  • Rollout etc
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 18 April 2009, at 11:10 p.m.