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OTB missthoughts and Bot content

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 20 April 2009, at 6:48 a.m.

In Response To: DMP 65 from Super JP semis (neilkaz)

OTB I was simply too afraid of 13/7 23/18 as I felt I was blitzed too often. I also felt 23/18 7/1x was a bit too unlikely to work so I settled on my own attack making the 1 pt. This could work, but I'd sure hate to see him roll a 3. Anyhow, I managed a close out and escaped one checker but never hit either of two outfield blots and finally crashed lacking the winning final 5.

After looking at it a bit afterwards I quickly became convinced that out and safe was best since any misstep by his dice is likely fatal and he has loads of work to do. If Hugh's checker on my 3 pt had been on the 2 pt I'd have come out 2318 quickly.

Rollouts show 23/18 13/7 winning 55% while 23/18 7/1x wins 54% and my sickly play wins 49%

ie..a super blunder at dmp :(

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