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BGonline.org Forums
Recube - skewed score
Posted By: Stein Kulseth In Response To: Recube - skewed score (Christian Munk-Christensen)
Date: Wednesday, 22 April 2009, at 10:11 a.m.
My calculation says ND/T.
Equities 1a-7a:91%, 3a-5a:66% gives white a TP of 9%, and blue a doubling window opening at 66/(66+9) = 88%
Basically a race, and applying the Kleinman count, and adjusting the pip difference by 1 for blue worse distribution, then the Kleinman coefficient is (94-76 + 4 - 1)^2 / (94+76-4) = 21^2 / 166 = 441 / 166 ~ 2.6 which corresponds to about 87% winning chances.
Blue is at least not better off for contact here, so does not seem to fall into the window.
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