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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 6:49 a.m.

In Response To: Vegas SJ - Munitz Cube #3 (Stick)

How many borderline cubes can I toss? Once again I tossed it, Richard took. I hit a good sequence this time though with an immediate 65 improving my game largely.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 6, user 4 (match to 15 points)

Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?

gnubg187


 ' '1O2O2X3X2X2X ' ' '2O

2X '2O2X2O2O2O2O ' '1X '

user148

Position ID: sNtAwFjMtsEACw Match ID: cAngAWAAIAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.6005(Money: +0.5909)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.8794 
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1206
3.No double +0.8714 -0.0080
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.65340.31640.0298-0.34660.05920.0029 +0.6005 +0.8714
Standard error0.00220.00200.0020-0.00220.00130.0007 0.0064 0.0145
Player gnubg owns 2-cube0.64110.29770.0302-0.35890.06040.0031 +1.1596 +0.8794
Standard error0.00450.00470.0037-0.00450.00200.0007 0.0301 0.0351
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817971082 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

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