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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 6:50 a.m.

In Response To: Vegas SJ - Munitz Cube #4 (Stick)

Bah - I posted this to 11 when we were playing to 15. I also rolled it out to 11 so here's the rollout. It went D/T OtB which I believe it is.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 6, user 2 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?

gnubg175


 ' ' '3O2X4X '3X ' ' '4O

 '2X2O2O1X2O2O ' ' ' '2X

user155

Position ID: sOdgQExsNvAABw Match ID: cAlgAWAAEAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.4718(Money: +0.4576)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.9248 
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0752
3.No double +0.7522 -0.1726
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.64230.24380.0157-0.35770.08470.0018 +0.4718 +0.7522
Standard error0.00400.00390.0016-0.00400.00340.0012 0.0114 0.0225
Player gnubg owns 2-cube0.65500.23960.0138-0.34500.07860.0025 +1.0518 +0.9248
Standard error0.00610.00650.0023-0.00610.00530.0009 0.0319 0.0370
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
216 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818111122 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

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