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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Vegas SJ - Munitz Cube #4 (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 6:50 a.m.
Bah - I posted this to 11 when we were playing to 15. I also rolled it out to 11 so here's the rollout. It went D/T OtB which I believe it is.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 6, user 2 (match to 11 points)
Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?
gnubg 175
user 155 Position ID: sOdgQExsNvAABw Match ID: cAlgAWAAEAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.4718 (Money: +0.4576) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.9248 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0752 3. No double +0.7522 -0.1726 Proper cube action: Double, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6423 0.2438 0.0157 - 0.3577 0.0847 0.0018 +0.4718 +0.7522 Standard error 0.0040 0.0039 0.0016 - 0.0040 0.0034 0.0012 0.0114 0.0225 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.6550 0.2396 0.0138 - 0.3450 0.0786 0.0025 +1.0518 +0.9248 Standard error 0.0061 0.0065 0.0023 - 0.0061 0.0053 0.0009 0.0319 0.0370 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 216 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818111122 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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