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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 6:59 a.m.

In Response To: Neil Cube -4 -4 (Stick)

GNU 2 ply thought this was a clear ND on 2 ply by almost .1. Maybe I play too much like the bot, I also thought it was a clear ND (though not by as much, just clear) Turns out it's borderline so the verdict depends on who Neil was playing, I don't think anyone under the sun is passing this.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 0 (match to 4 points)

Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	112
user	89
Position ID: bW6CAQN28wYYAA Match ID: cAmAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3943	(Money: +0.3797)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.5977
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4023
3.	Double, take	+0.5902	-0.0075
Proper cube action:		No double, take (1.8%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6783 0.0605 0.0018 - 0.3217 0.0377 0.0015 +0.3943 +0.5977 Standard error 0.0004 0.0006 0.0002 - 0.0004 0.0005 0.0002 0.0012 0.0029 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.6826 0.0561 0.0019 - 0.3174 0.0405 0.0024 +0.9330 +0.5902 Standard error 0.0005 0.0007 0.0002 - 0.0005 0.0008 0.0004 0.0033 0.0038
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
7988 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818719606 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Neil Cube -4 -4
  Stick -- Wednesday, 22 April 2009, at 5:10 a.m.
  • Neil Cube -4 -4
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 22 April 2009, at 7:11 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 6:59 a.m.
    • Rollout
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 9:17 a.m.