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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 7:00 a.m.

In Response To: Neil Conso Cube (Stick)

Clear on both ends, even us luckboxes made 1 correct OtB decision.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 2, user 2 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	144
user	136
Position ID: Y5sxgCSY3SZgCA Match ID: MAFgASAAEAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4918	(Money: +0.4879)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.8288
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.1712
3.	No double	+0.6848	-0.1440
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg   Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6914 0.2000 0.0129 - 0.3086 0.1048 0.0030 +0.4918 +0.6848 Standard error 0.0038 0.0047 0.0017 - 0.0038 0.0035 0.0007 0.0110 0.0223 Player user owns 2-cube 0.6995 0.1990 0.0152 - 0.3005 0.0973 0.0031 +1.0524 +0.8288 Standard error 0.0042 0.0054 0.0018 - 0.0042 0.0041 0.0007 0.0238 0.0311
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
216 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818111031 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

Messages In This Thread

• Neil Conso Cube
  Stick -- Wednesday, 22 April 2009, at 5:12 a.m.
  • Neil Conso Cube
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 22 April 2009, at 7:17 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 7:00 a.m.