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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Neil Conso Cube #2 (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 7:10 a.m.
Neil cubed here and I decided as disjointed and lacking timing as my game was, I had enough to take. Neil has immediate crushers like 55, 53, 11 even 31. Any 6 is good for him and anything else plays fine. I'm under pressure to do something quickly, escape a checker or be forced to attack the checker in my inner board if my dice don't let me run.
I ended up getting a lot of play out of this game and a couple immediate decisions Neil tossed me small niblets of equity back, like .04s, but that's not enough to make up for this monster pass I had.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 0 (match to 11 points)
Move number 3: gnubg on roll, cube decision?
gnubg 138
user 152 Position ID: 2N0BABvYNpMREA Match ID: MAFgAQAAAAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.6752 (Money: +0.6717) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.2109 +0.2109 3. No double +0.9579 -0.0421 Proper cube action: Double, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7524 0.2234 0.0084 - 0.2476 0.0633 0.0016 +0.6752 +0.9579 Standard error 0.0036 0.0044 0.0009 - 0.0036 0.0024 0.0009 0.0089 0.0227 Player user owns 2-cube 0.7557 0.2299 0.0104 - 0.2443 0.0648 0.0022 +1.3826 +1.2109 Standard error 0.0048 0.0057 0.0012 - 0.0048 0.0029 0.0006 0.0240 0.0350 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 216 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818110907 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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