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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 24 April 2009, at 8:23 a.m.

In Response To: Conso v. Alan G Cube (Stick)

Alan cubed and knowing fully this was a thin take I passed. This is in the set of positions that I think stronger players should pass v. weaker players. There's little room for them to mess this up, I feel conceding 1 point here is clearly correct rather than putting 2 points on the line with a pretty efficient cube.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	111
user	127
Position ID: ajuDAQy4zR0GAA Match ID: MAFgAQAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5341	(Money: +0.5333)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.9416
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.0584
3.	No double	+0.9094	-0.0322
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7565 0.0408 0.0010 - 0.2435 0.0208 0.0007 +0.5341 +0.9094 Standard error 0.0020 0.0016 0.0004 - 0.0020 0.0012 0.0003 0.0044 0.0108 Player user owns 2-cube 0.7615 0.0429 0.0012 - 0.2385 0.0214 0.0007 +1.0927 +0.9416 Standard error 0.0022 0.0025 0.0004 - 0.0022 0.0013 0.0005 0.0104 0.0131
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818114141 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Conso v. Alan G Cube
  Stick -- Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 8:34 a.m.
  • Conso v. Alan G Cube
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 8:41 a.m.
  • Conso v. Alan G Cube
    pontiac -- Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 9:15 a.m.
  • Conso v. Alan G Cube
    mamabear -- Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 2:58 p.m.
    • Conso v. Alan G Cube
      Tad Bright -- Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 9:05 p.m.
  • Conso v. Alan G Cube
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 5:46 p.m.
  • Conso v. Alan G Cube
    David -- Thursday, 23 April 2009, at 7:50 p.m.
  • Conso v. Alan G Cube
    mikeg -- Friday, 24 April 2009, at 12:05 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Friday, 24 April 2009, at 8:23 a.m.
    • Rollout
      David Startin -- Friday, 24 April 2009, at 2:25 p.m.
      • Rollout
        Stick -- Friday, 24 April 2009, at 7:33 p.m.
    • Rollout
      David Rockwell -- Friday, 24 April 2009, at 3:40 p.m.