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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: OLM April 4th (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 5 April 2007, at 2:24 p.m.
Our chances our worse than I'd thought. Stick's 11 pt is a super point for him to hold for clearing vs the 4 pt anchor. We usually get squeezed off the mid pt. He has a nice 4 prime. In spite of all that, I thought we had a reasonable take.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, ntk 0 (match to 13 points)
Move number 5: gnubg on roll, cube decision?
gnubg 120
ntk 137 Position ID: aHeDAQZkt3EGAA Match ID: MAGgAQAAAAAA
• gnubg doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.548 (Money: +0.547) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.000 2. Double, take +1.007 +0.007 3. No double +0.945 -0.055 Proper cube action: Double, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.766 0.023 0.001 - 0.234 0.009 0.000 +0.548 +0.945 Standard error 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.003 Player ntk owns 2-cube 0.774 0.023 0.001 - 0.226 0.009 0.000 +1.156 +1.007 Standard error 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.004 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2729 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1060689157 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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