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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 5 April 2007, at 2:24 p.m.

In Response To: OLM April 4th (Stick)

Our chances our worse than I'd thought. Stick's 11 pt is a super point for him to hold for clearing vs the 4 pt anchor. We usually get squeezed off the mid pt. He has a nice 4 prime. In spite of all that, I thought we had a reasonable take.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, ntk 0 (match to 13 points)

Move number 5: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg120


 ' '1X2O2X3X2X2X ' '3X2O

 ' ' '1O2O3O3O2O ' ' '2X

ntk137

Position ID: aHeDAQZkt3EGAA Match ID: MAGgAQAAAAAA

• gnubg doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.548(Money: +0.547)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.000
2.Double, take +1.007 +0.007
3.No double +0.945 -0.055
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.7660.0230.001-0.2340.0090.000 +0.548 +0.945
Standard error0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0000.000 0.001 0.003
Player ntk owns 2-cube0.7740.0230.001-0.2260.0090.000 +1.156 +1.007
Standard error0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0000.000 0.003 0.004
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2729 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1060689157 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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