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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 6:23 a.m.

In Response To: Empty Chair v. Stick #3 (Stick)

It is technically too early but nothing to lose sleep over.

The score (after 0 games) is: Rice 0, Fogerlund 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 17: Fogerlund on roll, cube decision?

Rice	131
Fogerlund	118
Position ID: tJ7BwQCszXgGAA Match ID: cAlgAQAAAAAA

• Fogerlund doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3652	(Money: +0.3651)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.5937
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4063
3.	Double, take	+0.5659	-0.0278
Proper cube action:		No double, take (6.4%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg   Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6812 0.0236 0.0012 - 0.3188 0.0214 0.0006 +0.3652 +0.5937 Standard error 0.0011 0.0012 0.0006 - 0.0011 0.0008 0.0001 0.0023 0.0050 Player Rice owns 2-cube 0.6889 0.0198 0.0011 - 0.3111 0.0204 0.0007 +0.7541 +0.5659 Standard error 0.0011 0.0012 0.0003 - 0.0011 0.0009 0.0001 0.0051 0.0065
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
974 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818198897 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

Messages In This Thread

• Empty Chair v. Stick #3
  Stick -- Sunday, 26 April 2009, at 9:21 a.m.
  • Empty Chair v. Stick #3
    pontiac -- Sunday, 26 April 2009, at 9:38 a.m.
    • Empty Chair v. Stick #3
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Sunday, 26 April 2009, at 5:09 p.m.
  • Empty Chair v. Stick #3
    Coolrey -- Sunday, 26 April 2009, at 12:52 p.m.
    • Empty Chair v. Stick #3
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Sunday, 26 April 2009, at 5:09 p.m.
      • Empty Chair v. Stick #3
        Coolrey -- Sunday, 26 April 2009, at 5:43 p.m.
  • Empty Chair v. Stick #3
    Bill Riles -- Sunday, 26 April 2009, at 5:18 p.m.
  • Empty Chair v. Stick #3
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 26 April 2009, at 6:00 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 6:23 a.m.