BGonline.org Forums

Rollout etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 2:51 a.m.

In Response To: Skill factor oriented recube (neilkaz)

Here's a rollout using the -100 ELO MET and 0 ply vs 2 ply play. As I thought OTB, there's no way in hell that I want to take this cube vs this player since this position is just easy for her to play and very dice oriented..ie if I cannot come in and then hit, it hardly matters how she may missplay.

The score (after 0 games) is: Opp 0, neilkaz 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 7: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Opp 104, neilkaz 103
Position ID: 2+4AgEG2OWMiAA Match ID: UQngAAAAAAAA

• neilkaz doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5201	(Money: +0.5056)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0954	+0.0954
3.	No double	+0.9168	-0.0832
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player neilkaz owns 2-cube 0.7280 0.0644 0.0012 - 0.2720 0.0158 0.0002 +0.5201 +0.9168 Standard error 0.0006 0.0008 0.0001 - 0.0006 0.0009 0.0001 0.0015 0.0027 Player Opp owns 4-cube 0.7361 0.0651 0.0029 - 0.2639 0.0156 0.0004 +1.2543 +1.0954 Standard error 0.0010 0.0012 0.0006 - 0.0010 0.0013 0.0003 0.0048 0.0057
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2120 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 819899584 and quasi-random dice
Player 0:
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Player 1:
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Skill factor oriented recube
  neilkaz -- Sunday, 26 April 2009, at 10:18 p.m.
  • Skill factor oriented recube
    Coolrey -- Sunday, 26 April 2009, at 11:33 p.m.
  • Skill factor oriented recube
    Stick -- Sunday, 26 April 2009, at 11:50 p.m.
  • Skill factor oriented recube
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 27 April 2009, at 12:34 a.m.
  • Skill factor oriented recube
    David -- Monday, 27 April 2009, at 2:37 a.m.
    • Skill factor oriented recube
      phil Simborg -- Monday, 27 April 2009, at 7:19 p.m.
      • Skill factor oriented recube
        Coolrey -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 7:27 p.m.
  • Rollout etc
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 2:51 a.m.