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SW Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 3:16 a.m.

In Response To: 3rd roll 61-51-21 AtS (Keene)

These are money rollouts that Nack forwarded to post. You can compare the positions and pick apart the differences and therefore the reason for one play or the other.

peeverfanar (Green) vs. (White)

Money session. Score Green-White: 0-0

		Pip: 161
		Game 1 Money session Green-White: Score 0-0
		Pip: 160

#	Ply	Move	Equity
1	R	24/21	0.099
		95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.070 ±0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 176344 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, without race database.
2	R	7/5 6/5	0.073 (-0.026)
		95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.056 ±0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 156349 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, without race database.

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peeverfanar (Green) vs. (White)

Money session. Score Green-White: 0-0

		Pip: 162
		Game 1 Money session Green-White: Score 0-0
		Pip: 160

#	Ply	Move	Equity
1	R	7/5 6/5	0.045
		95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.034 ±0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 146773 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, without race database.
2	R	6/3*	0.019 (-0.027)
		95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.014 ±0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 152685 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, without race database.
3	R	24/23 13/11	0.016 (-0.029)
		95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.012 ±0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 156237 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, without race database.

Messages In This Thread

• 3rd roll 61-51-21 AtS
  Keene -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 3:57 p.m.
  • 3rd roll 61-51-21 AtS
    David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 4:27 p.m.
    • 3rd roll 61-51-21 AtS
      David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 4:40 p.m.
  • SW Rollouts
    Stick -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 3:16 a.m.