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More cube action after taking my earlier post

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 30 April 2009, at 8:02 p.m.

In Response To: More cube action after taking my earlier post (Bill Riles)

Rolled out w/the MET being 100 ELO difference. The difference between Rory and Neil is probably twice that so it's a clear cube depending on who he is playing. The T/P decision would be more interesting in this scenario imo.

The score (after 0 games) is: Player 0 3, Player 1 6 (match to 9 points)

Move number 5: Player 1 on roll, cube decision?

Player 0106


 '3X '4X2X3X ' ' ' ' '1X

 '3O7O3O '1X '1O ' ' '1O

Player 159

Position ID: ztuBgEDu7xACAA Match ID: UQkgATAAMAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.7885(Money: +0.8680)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.8700
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1300
3.No double +0.8465 -0.0235
Proper cube action:Redouble, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Player 1 owns 2-cube0.85070.15950.0143-0.14930.00710.0002 +0.7885 +0.8465
Standard error0.00120.00510.0028-0.00120.00060.0001 0.0032 0.0045
Player Player 0 owns 4-cube0.85420.30700.0229-0.14580.01090.0001 +1.1664 +0.8700
Standard error0.00120.01240.0037-0.00120.00230.0001 0.0045 0.0072
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 819142964 and quasi-random dice
Player 0:
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Player 1:
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

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