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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 5 May 2009, at 9:00 a.m.

In Response To: Riles v. Stick - Cube #4 (Stick)

I figured this was a proper cube OtB but thought it to be smallish given the score so I decided to wait and hope to have a much stronger cube next time or lose my market by a tiny bit and maybe get a take still.

The score (after 1 game) is: Stick_Rice 2, Bill_Riles 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 30: Stick_Rice on roll, cube decision?

Stick_Rice	125
Bill_Riles	114
Position ID: u3MAwAk4tw1hAA Match ID: AQFgASAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5978	(Money: +0.6085)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.8940
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.1060
3.	No double	+0.8594	-0.0346
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Stick_Rice owns 2-cube 0.7458 0.1383 0.0024 - 0.2542 0.0235 0.0002 +0.5978 +0.8594 Standard error 0.0024 0.0032 0.0016 - 0.0024 0.0014 0.0001 0.0057 0.0110 Player Bill_Riles owns 4-cube 0.7511 0.1365 0.0049 - 0.2489 0.0209 0.0015 +1.1810 +0.8940 Standard error 0.0033 0.0054 0.0012 - 0.0033 0.0018 0.0009 0.0171 0.0195
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818520495 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Riles v. Stick - Cube #4
  Stick -- Friday, 1 May 2009, at 5:24 a.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Cube #4
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 1 May 2009, at 7:58 a.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Cube #4
    pontiac -- Friday, 1 May 2009, at 8:32 a.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Cube #4
    Neil Robins -- Friday, 1 May 2009, at 9:32 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 5 May 2009, at 9:00 a.m.