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Riles v. Stick - Cube #3

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 5 May 2009, at 9:04 a.m.

In Response To: Riles v. Stick - Cube #3 (Stick)

It's interesting that only 3 ppl answered and their answers were DT, DP, and far from D. I figured it to be a big cube with the looming gammon threat when things went right but I thought I won enough to counterbalance that. Bill's gammon value is slightly augmented here from money after turning the cube. GNU 2 ply also takes.

The score (after 1 game) is: Stick_Rice 2, Bill_Riles 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 17: Bill_Riles on roll, cube decision?

Stick_Rice151


2O ' '2X1O3X3X2X ' ' '1O

1X2O2O '2O3O2O ' ' ' '3X

Bill_Riles133

Position ID: mLvBAVA2u4GAMA Match ID: cAlgASAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.6429(Money: +0.6284)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000 
2.Double, take +1.1636 +0.1636
3.No double +0.8486 -0.1514
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.65190.40630.0072-0.34810.08360.0053 +0.6429 +0.8486
Standard error0.00340.00660.0008-0.00340.00400.0013 0.0105 0.0202
Player Stick_Rice owns 2-cube0.65630.43070.0065-0.34370.08830.0058 +1.4068 +1.1636
Standard error0.00420.00730.0010-0.00420.00430.0016 0.0262 0.0364
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
216 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818520495 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

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