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BGonline.org Forums
GG match cube
Posted By: Rich Munitz In Response To: GG match cube (Coolrey)
Date: Sunday, 10 May 2009, at 6:16 a.m.
Certainly seems to be a double as white is a solid favorite and there are certainly a fair number of market losing sequences.
However, blue can win when white fails to cover (16/36) (44 and 33 are not good covers so I wont count them) and then hits, plus repeaters. So say 6/36 total. Blue wins another 1/36 after being closed out. Also blue can win when white fails to extract all 3 checkers over the 4-prime or by rolling an ace and then a 6 and running the gauntlet. So with all those ways to win, blue's wins have to be up around 30%. Gammons? Seems either player can get themselves gammoned here, but probably not a huge amount.
So seems like a comfortable take.
D/T
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