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Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 12:49 p.m.

In Response To: Riles v. Stick - Game #3 - 31 (Stick)

I forgot to post my cube decision before this roll so it's included below also. There is no way I'm not cubing this even with my modest lead, I've seen ppl drop much worse and I felt it was a technical cube anyway.

The score (after 2 games) is: Stick_Rice 4, Bill_Riles 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 8: Stick_Rice on roll, cube decision?

Stick_Rice	146
Bill_Riles	166
Position ID: xOvgADGwT8UBAw Match ID: MAFgAUAAAAAA

• Stick_Rice doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5727	(Money: +0.5998)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.7278
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2722
3.	Double, take	+0.7025	-0.0253
Proper cube action:		No double, take (8.5%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6795 0.2741 0.0307 - 0.3205 0.0616 0.0024 +0.5727 +0.7278 Standard error 0.0015 0.0020 0.0015 - 0.0015 0.0009 0.0002 0.0042 0.0102 Player Bill_Riles owns 2-cube 0.6786 0.2775 0.0365 - 0.3214 0.0586 0.0028 +1.0948 +0.7025 Standard error 0.0020 0.0026 0.0022 - 0.0020 0.0011 0.0002 0.0112 0.0160
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1836 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818520495 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

---

GNU is still unsure of what to play only that hitting is overextending even with the shape of my opponent's offensive position and my advanced anchor. I am up a mile in the race, I can bring this home quietly if all else fails. I still prefer making the bar point with Bill having two men on my ace point. Added bonus, the small duplication of 3s & 5s.

The score (after 2 games) is: Stick_Rice 4, Bill_Riles 0 (match to 11 points)

Stick_Rice	146
Bill_Riles	166
Position ID: xOvgADGwT8UBAw Match ID: EYFlAUAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	13/10 9/8	+0.1841
			0.6475 0.2061 0.0175 - 0.3525 0.0688 0.0029 +0.3963 +0.1841 0.0019 0.0028 0.0013 - 0.0019 0.0013 0.0003 0.0047 0.0072
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818520495 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	10/7 8/7	+0.1824 ( -0.0017)
			0.6404 0.2097 0.0182 - 0.3596 0.0648 0.0021 +0.3901 +0.1824 0.0021 0.0028 0.0017 - 0.0021 0.0014 0.0003 0.0057 0.0084
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818520495 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	8/4*	+0.0883 ( -0.0958)
			0.6172 0.2383 0.0242 - 0.3828 0.0804 0.0032 +0.3488 +0.0883 0.0066 0.0072 0.0037 - 0.0066 0.0037 0.0008 0.0164 0.0254
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			216 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 818520495 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Riles v. Stick - Game #3 - 31
  Stick -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 10:29 a.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #3 - 31
    misja -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 10:55 a.m.
    • white to move *NM*
      Peter G. -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 11:13 a.m.
      • white to move
        misja -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 12:41 p.m.
        • also look where cube is *NM* *NM*
          bob koca -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 12:46 p.m.
          • also look where cube is
            misja -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 1:16 p.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #3 - 31
    Peter G. -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 11:16 a.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #3 - 31
    bob koca -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 12:44 p.m.
    • Riles v. Stick - Game #3 - 31
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 3:07 p.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #3 - 31
    Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 2:17 p.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #3 - 31
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 3:23 p.m.
    • Riles v. Stick - Game #3 - 31
      Ian Shaw -- Tuesday, 12 May 2009, at 11:57 p.m.
  • Rollouts
    Stick -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 12:49 p.m.
    • Rollouts
      jdg -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 1:37 p.m.
      • Rollouts
        jdg -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 1:40 p.m.