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Rollout at 0-0

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 5:51 p.m.

In Response To: Long rollout (neilkaz)

What a difference 1 little point can make in a short match when there's a 4 cube.

The score (after 0 games) is: Opp 0, ntk 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 5: Opp on roll, cube decision?

Opp	124
ntk	75
Position ID: 89sGAEDWbQMAHA Match ID: AQHgAAAAAAAA

• Opp doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3966	(Money: +0.3866)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.7928
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2072
3.	No double	+0.6633	-0.1294
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Opp owns 2-cube 0.6905 0.1110 0.0047 - 0.3095 0.1055 0.0047 +0.3966 +0.6633 Standard error 0.0016 0.0021 0.0010 - 0.0016 0.0036 0.0010 0.0045 0.0063 Player ntk owns 4-cube 0.7145 0.1237 0.0150 - 0.2855 0.1247 0.0227 +0.9786 +0.7928 Standard error 0.0019 0.0032 0.0026 - 0.0019 0.0055 0.0037 0.0116 0.0126
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
729 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858249311 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• GG match cube
  Coolrey -- Sunday, 10 May 2009, at 12:30 a.m.
  • GG match cube
    David -- Sunday, 10 May 2009, at 1:10 a.m.
  • GG match cube
    Keene -- Sunday, 10 May 2009, at 3:55 a.m.
  • GG match cube
    Rich Munitz -- Sunday, 10 May 2009, at 6:16 a.m.
  • GG match cube
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Sunday, 10 May 2009, at 9:06 a.m.
    • GG match cube
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Sunday, 10 May 2009, at 4:16 p.m.
  • GG match cube
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 10 May 2009, at 4:22 p.m.
  • GG match cube
    Samir -- Sunday, 10 May 2009, at 9:43 p.m.
  • GG match cube
    Ian Shaw -- Monday, 11 May 2009, at 9:28 a.m.
  • GG match cube
    Coolrey -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 1:21 a.m.
    • Long rollout
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 5:09 p.m.
      • Rollout at 0-0
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 5:51 p.m.
        • Rollout at 0-0
          Coolrey -- Friday, 15 May 2009, at 10:16 p.m.
    • GG match cube
      Stick -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 5:31 p.m.