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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 14 May 2009, at 9:43 p.m.

In Response To: Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube (Stick)

Letting the rollout run this long pained me. This isn't a cube, even AtS, and I'm not wasting more trials on it. I'm with Ray on this one, take a roll, give me a real decision, don't let me happily scoop.

The score (after 3 games) is: Stick_Rice 6, Bill_Riles 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 10: Bill_Riles on roll, cube decision?

Stick_Rice	153
Bill_Riles	136
Position ID: GufggCFs5owJQA Match ID: cAlgAWAAAAAA

• Bill_Riles doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3341	(Money: +0.3002)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.6405
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.3595
3.	Double, take	+0.6198	-0.0207
Proper cube action:		No double, take (5.4%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg   Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6270 0.1319 0.0058 - 0.3730 0.0883 0.0033 +0.3341 +0.6405 Standard error 0.0021 0.0024 0.0009 - 0.0021 0.0023 0.0012 0.0052 0.0117 Player Stick_Rice owns 2-cube 0.6330 0.1311 0.0039 - 0.3670 0.0852 0.0027 +0.7059 +0.6198 Standard error 0.0024 0.0025 0.0009 - 0.0024 0.0026 0.0006 0.0114 0.0136
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
656 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858734815 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

Messages In This Thread

• Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
  Stick -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 12:53 p.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
    Coolrey -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 2:02 p.m.
    • Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
      Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 6:52 p.m.
      • Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
        Stein Kulseth -- Friday, 15 May 2009, at 12:24 p.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 4:24 p.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
    Keene -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 5:24 p.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 6:02 p.m.
    • Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
      Keene -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 7:11 p.m.
      • Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 7:17 p.m.
        • Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
          Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 13 May 2009, at 7:26 p.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 14 May 2009, at 12:39 a.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #4 - Cube
    misja -- Thursday, 14 May 2009, at 6:44 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 14 May 2009, at 9:43 p.m.