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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 17 May 2009, at 4:42 p.m.

In Response To: Riles v. Stick - Game #5 - Cube (Stick)

Another TG or not TG situation where I still disagree w/GNU, but only by a shade this time. Perhaps with my slightly diminished gammon value I should cash, but I'm that smart. 2 ply thought I had blundered by not cubing Bill out here.

The score (after 4 games) is: Stick_Rice 6, Bill_Riles 2 (match to 11 points)

Move number 16: Stick_Rice on roll, cube decision?

Stick_Rice	125
Bill_Riles	145
Position ID: cG+DAWDTNpEBIg Match ID: MAFgAWAAEAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.9007	(Money: +0.9491)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.4221	+0.4221
3.	No double	+0.9749	-0.0251
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7446 0.5152 0.0085 - 0.2554 0.0601 0.0037 +0.9007 +0.9749 Standard error 0.0014 0.0023 0.0015 - 0.0014 0.0011 0.0004 0.0045 0.0092 Player Bill_Riles owns 2-cube 0.7550 0.5252 0.0120 - 0.2450 0.0578 0.0040 +1.7379 +1.4221 Standard error 0.0018 0.0028 0.0025 - 0.0018 0.0013 0.0004 0.0109 0.0152
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1012 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858734815 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Riles v. Stick - Game #5 - Cube
  Stick -- Saturday, 16 May 2009, at 3:23 a.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #5 - Cube
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 16 May 2009, at 3:34 a.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #5 - Cube
    pontiac -- Saturday, 16 May 2009, at 7:35 a.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #5 - Cube
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Saturday, 16 May 2009, at 11:13 a.m.
  • Riles v. Stick - Game #5 - Cube
    Havard Raddum -- Saturday, 16 May 2009, at 5:26 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Sunday, 17 May 2009, at 4:42 p.m.