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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 17 May 2009, at 4:43 p.m.

In Response To: Riles v. Stick - Game #5 - Cube #2 (Stick)

AtS take, a lot of ppl would have dropped this I imagine.

The score (after 4 games) is: Stick_Rice 6, Bill_Riles 2 (match to 11 points)

Move number 18: Stick_Rice on roll, cube decision?

Stick_Rice122


2X1O1X2X2X2X '1X ' '1X2O

 ' ' '2X3O4O2O2O ' ' '2X

Bill_Riles143

Position ID: cG+DAUjTNpEBBg Match ID: MAFgAWAAEAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.6962(Money: +0.7409)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.8698
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1302
3.No double +0.7728 -0.0970
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.69280.42090.0085-0.30720.07160.0024 +0.6962 +0.7728
Standard error0.00330.01230.0008-0.00330.00190.0004 0.0091 0.0158
Player Bill_Riles owns 2-cube0.70390.42560.0087-0.29610.06900.0029 +1.2930 +0.8698
Standard error0.00530.01510.0019-0.00530.00400.0006 0.0389 0.0543
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
109 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858734815 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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