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Posted By: David Rockwell In Response To: Cube action (David Rockwell)
Date: Wednesday, 20 May 2009, at 2:19 a.m.
I'm not sure I totally trust the rollout results. 9% gammons seems very high. It makes me wonder if GNU is playing the white checkers correctly. But, I am pleased that I was in the general vacinity of evaluating the position correctly. OTB, I thought for a long time, waited and got a take next turn after dance / makes 2 point.
The score (after 0 games) is: GNU_bg 1, user 0 (match to 7 points)
Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?
GNU_bg 64
user 26 Position ID: 9XYbAAABAAACAA Match ID: cAngABAAAAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.4187 (Money: +0.4069) Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.5548 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.4452 3. Double, take +0.5449 -0.0099 Proper cube action: No double, take (2.2%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6498 0.0865 0.0209 - 0.3502 0.0000 0.0000 +0.4187 +0.5548 Standard error 0.0009 0.0007 0.0006 - 0.0009 0.0000 0.0000 0.0025 0.0057 Player GNU_bg owns 2-cube 0.6458 0.0899 0.0224 - 0.3542 0.0000 0.0000 +0.8393 +0.5449 Standard error 0.0010 0.0008 0.0007 - 0.0010 0.0000 0.0000 0.0063 0.0074 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859310613 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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