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match recube vs weaker opp #2

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 26 May 2009, at 5:59 p.m.

In Response To: match recube vs weaker opp #2 (Rich Munitz)

Hmm..Rich says that there's 30% chances that a random fish passes here. A few things to say here.

1) Sometimes you know your opp's tendencies or can be a favorite to determine them.

2) I am not too likely to get drops from someone 250 ELO less than me in a major event in this position type. Keene, however might, since he's not yet that well known, and the opp may not even realize that he plays much worse than Keene.

So for me.. I need to expect my fishy to be a favorite to pass this, or I will just take a roll.

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