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Desperation redouble time ?!?!

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Thursday, 28 May 2009, at 12:15 a.m.

In Response To: Desperation redouble time ?!?! (neilkaz)

White's 8-cube takepoint is roughly 28/91 plus around 10% of Blue's g/bg chances. Blue's 16 hits are pretty gammonish so I'd give Blue around 25% gammons here. White's gammon-adjusted takepoint is therefore around one third. He certainly has that, so it's an easy take. How about the redouble? Looks right to me. The loss from redoubling isn't that great since a lot of your losses figure to be gammons which will cost you the match even at the 4 level. Hit/fan is a mkt loss and that happens over 7/36 which I think is enough to justify redoubling even though the oppt has a clear take.

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