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Various bot info. Speculations welcomed

Posted By: happyjuggler0
Date: Thursday, 28 May 2009, at 12:57 a.m.

In Response To: 6th move position (happyjuggler0)

This includes the rollout, 2ply evaluation, and 4ply evaluation. I didn't think to roll out 24/20 24/23 until a poster thought it was likely best based on QF (but voted for the obvious play anyway!).

Needless to say I made the automatic play. I honestly don't know what is going on here. Perhaps when white hits (11/36 of the time) on the 7pt by breaking the 5pt that he doesn't gain much equity. Combined with a much (!?) larger gain in equity from the split to white's stripped 8pt, and to white's having made an inner point already. Perhaps together they add up to enough, but seriously I am not sold.

Could someone with Snowie post a 3ply evaluation here to see if that bot is "thinking" the same way that gnu is? A rollout shouldn't seem to be warranted if they both think the same way in evaluation mode. I can't help but wonder if gnu is wrongly not hitting on the bar point or something like that.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, blue 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 6: blue to play 41

gnubg149


2O '2X ' '4X '2X ' '1X3O

 ' ' '2O2X4O '3O ' '1O4X

blue154

Position ID: jGfkAQOY58gBMA Match ID: cAlmAQAAAAAA

• blue moves 11/7 8/7

Alert: very bad move ( -0.050)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/23 11/7 -0.373
0.4210.0860.003-0.5790.1720.007 -0.249 -0.373
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859721052 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 11/7 8/7 -0.422 ( -0.050)
0.4110.0750.003-0.5890.1690.005 -0.280 -0.422
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859721052 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 24/23 24/20 -0.422 ( -0.050)
0.4100.0850.004-0.5900.1870.009 -0.289 -0.422
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.007
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2595 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859721052 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Alert: bad move ( -0.024)

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 24/23 11/7 -0.288
0.436 0.089 0.002 - 0.564 0.167 0.006
2 2 11/7 8/7 -0.312 ( -0.024)
0.429 0.079 0.002 - 0.571 0.157 0.005
3 2 24/23 24/20 -0.347 ( -0.059)
0.428 0.084 0.002 - 0.572 0.186 0.007

Alert: very bad move ( -0.041)

# Ply Move Equity
1 4 24/23 11/7 -0.295
0.438 0.089 0.002 - 0.562 0.169 0.006
2 4 11/7 8/7 -0.335 ( -0.041)
0.428 0.079 0.002 - 0.572 0.160 0.005
3 4 24/23 24/20 -0.351 ( -0.057)
0.428 0.087 0.002 - 0.572 0.186 0.007

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