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OTB Whopper and BK Rollout Coupon

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 28 May 2009, at 4:08 p.m.

In Response To: Routine aces ? (neilkaz)

OTB Greed set in, and the realization that I am not very far up in the pip count so I made the overplay of 2/1x(2) 11/9. This is simply too loose and far inferior to making my 5 pt which wins G's anyhow, since the blot in my board is soon in serious trouble and has difficulty escaping safely and that now becomes White only game plan.

The score (after 3 games) is: Bill_Riles 2, Neil_Kazaross 6 (match to 13 points)

Move number 11: Neil_Kazaross to play 11


 ' ' ' '2O5X2X4X '1X '3O

1X2O '3O '3O '1O ' '1O2X

Pip counts: Bill_Riles 136, Neil_Kazaross 132
Position ID: 4NsTAyDmnMgBAw Match ID: QYmkASAAMAAA

• Neil_Kazaross moves 11/9 2/1*(2)

Alert: very bad move ( -0.135)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 8/5 6/5 +0.2273
0.64640.21960.0045-0.35360.05110.0027 +0.4356 +0.2273
0.00280.00490.0011-0.00280.00200.0010 0.0074 0.0115
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
318 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859236480 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 11/9 2/1*(2) +0.0926 ( -0.1348)
0.59070.25960.0034-0.40930.05920.0022 +0.3494 +0.0926
0.00290.00450.0006-0.00290.00220.0004 0.0074 0.0110
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
319 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859236480 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 4 6/3 4/3 +0.1475 ( -0.0798)
0.6166 0.2057 0.0037 - 0.3834 0.0524 0.0011
4 4 11/10 8/7 2/1*(2) +0.1427 ( -0.0846)
0.6098 0.2393 0.0036 - 0.3902 0.0609 0.0012
5 2 8/6 2/1*(2) +0.1216 ( -0.1057)
0.6050 0.2234 0.0032 - 0.3950 0.0604 0.0008

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