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2-ply rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 28 May 2009, at 9:19 p.m.

In Response To: 0-ply rollout (Jason Lee)

Well..the score is a factor here in making this a pass, however I am in grave danger here as this position can also become a priming game when I don't get blown off the board. Note the cubeless money equity of .516 so I could take at a normal score, but my OTB pass seems best.

The score (after 7 games) is: Bill_Riles 6, Neil_Kazaross 8 (match to 13 points)

Move number 7: Bill_Riles on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Bill_Riles 157, Neil_Kazaross 162
Position ID: 4HPkAUEsz8gAMg Match ID: MAGgAWAAQAAA

• Bill_Riles doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5473	(Money: +0.5166)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0540	+0.0540
3.	No double	+0.7519	-0.2481
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6305 0.3414 0.0223 - 0.3695 0.0982 0.0098 +0.5473 +0.7519 Standard error 0.0029 0.0033 0.0014 - 0.0029 0.0020 0.0028 0.0076 0.0165 Player Neil_Kazaross owns 2-cube 0.6407 0.3451 0.0218 - 0.3593 0.0942 0.0083 +1.2372 +1.0540 Standard error 0.0036 0.0043 0.0017 - 0.0036 0.0026 0.0017 0.0194 0.0223
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
437 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859236480 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Early attacking cube
  neilkaz -- Wednesday, 27 May 2009, at 4:26 a.m.
  • Early attacking cube
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Wednesday, 27 May 2009, at 8:06 a.m.
  • Early attacking cube
    Ian Shaw -- Wednesday, 27 May 2009, at 10:38 a.m.
  • Early attacking cube
    MandM1951 -- Wednesday, 27 May 2009, at 12:29 p.m.
  • Early attacking cube
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 27 May 2009, at 2:10 p.m.
  • Early attacking cube
    Stick -- Wednesday, 27 May 2009, at 3:21 p.m.
    • Early attacking cube.,,thoughts OTB
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 27 May 2009, at 3:57 p.m.
    • Early attacking cube
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 27 May 2009, at 4:05 p.m.
  • Early attacking cube
    Keene -- Wednesday, 27 May 2009, at 4:46 p.m.
  • Early attacking cube
    Coolrey -- Wednesday, 27 May 2009, at 4:50 p.m.
  • 0-ply rollout
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 28 May 2009, at 4:49 p.m.
    • 0-ply rollout
      Jason Lee -- Thursday, 28 May 2009, at 5:13 p.m.
      • 0-ply rollout
        Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 28 May 2009, at 5:36 p.m.
      • 2-ply rollout
        neilkaz -- Thursday, 28 May 2009, at 9:19 p.m.
        • 2-ply rollout
          Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 28 May 2009, at 9:31 p.m.