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Rollout indeed says "next" but not for the reasons given by many of you.

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 29 May 2009, at 11:29 p.m.

In Response To: Try to end this match properly (Bill Riles)

Ahyhow..assuming equal skill it really is hard for me to lose this game either way due to cube access. If I rip I can cash any hit once closed out. If I pig (winning more G's) I will usually be able to get a very potent cube in if hit at some point anyhow.

So what to do vs this opp? Well if I rip and get closed out, does he have a take or a pass based on skill (and noting he could screw it up)..I wasn't sure but certainly would cube him. This alone maybe should cause me to rip.

However, vs this opp when I hit, I know that I am not cubing yet. I'll wait til he screws up bigtime bearing off or until I enter. Perhaps he'll err then..who knows...

Anyhow I came to the conclusion that it likely didn't matter vs my opp and that hitting was technically correct by a small margin vs a perfect opp...however the deciding factor in my hit was that my opp had just butchered his previous 31 by staying on the 23 pt. If he wants to get G'd more..I am a nice guy (well compared to the Devil) so why not help him?

This is a "next" bcuz the play really doesn't matter.

The score (after 9 games) is: PRO_TS_Redneck 5, neilkaz 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 81: neilkaz to play 41


1X2X3X2X2X4X ' ' ' ' ' '

3O1X2O ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

Pip counts: PRO_TS_Redneck 79, neilkaz 9
Position ID: 7bYHABBnAAAAAA Match ID: cAkmAVAAOAAA

• neilkaz moves 3/2* 3/off

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.445)

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 R 3/2* 3/off +1.9187
0.93630.59990.0586-0.06370.00000.0000 +1.8759 +1.9187
0.00030.00020.0006-0.00030.00000.0000 0.0006 0.0011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
25920 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859236480 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 3/off 1/off +1.9143 ( -0.0045)
0.95390.54720.0043-0.04610.00000.0000 +1.8229 +1.9143
0.00030.00010.0003-0.00030.00000.0000 0.0004 0.0009
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
25920 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859236480 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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