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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: I challenge you to a duel (Stick)
Date: Saturday, 30 May 2009, at 7:04 a.m.
Again, after 4k trials there's no winner. Perry asked this in Chicago and without much thought I played 8/1. There are arguments that go both ways of play A v. play B, as presented, I think Perry thought it clearly correct to play 7/6 7/1. Not interested enough to find a stat. sig winner so as always, if anyone wants to extend this, let me know and I'll ship it to you to extend.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 1 (match to 3 points)
gnubg 182
user 83 Position ID: 2RpAwB1xdzcAAA Match ID: cIl4AAAACAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 7/6 7/1 +0.3185
0.5468 0.3844 0.1298 - 0.4532 0.0415 0.0051 +0.5921 +0.3185 0.0013 0.0023 0.0036 - 0.0013 0.0012 0.0008 0.0056 0.0081 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 4021 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859247693 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 8/1 +0.3179 ( -0.0007)
0.5464 0.3939 0.1275 - 0.4536 0.0470 0.0063 +0.5820 +0.3179 0.0014 0.0024 0.0037 - 0.0014 0.0009 0.0009 0.0057 0.0081 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 4020 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859247693 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 7/1 5/4 +0.2904 ( -0.0281)
0.5463 0.3833 0.1211 - 0.4537 0.0540 0.0067 +0.5764 +0.2904 0.0017 0.0029 0.0045 - 0.0017 0.0012 0.0011 0.0069 0.0103 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2589 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 859247693 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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