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Snowie stats: Expected winnings and luck rate

Posted By: Michael Petch
Date: Saturday, 30 May 2009, at 2:11 p.m.

In Response To: Snowie stats: Expected winnings and luck rate (Michael Petch)

I've never been a fan of the way Snowie computes Match Favorite. Often the results will appear misleading or wrong. Yuu'll often find a situation as well where the Error rate expressed in MWC exceeds a differential of 50% (Really good player vs a beginner). Then you start to see match favorite chances abouve 100% and match underdog below 0%.

As well, Snowies calculation for Match Favorite doesn't factor out the luck.

My opinion, read the Match Favorite value with a grain of salt.

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