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BGonline.org Forums
GNU rollout has me sitting on the bus next to Ray
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: GNU doesn't care for my play (neilkaz)
Date: Saturday, 30 May 2009, at 6:39 p.m.
Why'd I hit here? Hmm..at first I thought not hitting was likely best, and then the gremlins crept into my thoughts and I was less sure..thus I hit since it seems more complicated. However, hitting is lots more wrong than I'd expected.
Also, in comparison to a W/C opp where I am 81.5 to 82% if I just win a single here, I am likely 83.5 to 84% vs this opp who's checker play isn't so good. This should also sway me when I am unsure, to just make the play that wins more games.
The score (after 9 games) is: PRO_TS_Redneck 5, neilkaz 7 (match to 9 points)
Move number 37: neilkaz to play 63
Pip counts: PRO_TS_Redneck 162, neilkaz 107
Position ID: NlsIwCycOw8BBA Match ID: cAkvAVAAOAAA
• neilkaz moves 21/18*/12
Cube decision 2-ply cubeless equity +0.7402 (Money: +0.5548) 0.6475 0.3005 0.0210 - 0.3525 0.0604 0.0013 Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.4498 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.5502 3. Double, take -0.5610 -1.0108 Proper cube action: No double, take (64.8%)
Alert: doubtful move ( -0.116)
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 21/12 +0.5853
0.6855 0.2503 0.0532 - 0.3145 0.0336 0.0018 +0.6616 +0.5853 0.0018 0.0039 0.0044 - 0.0018 0.0010 0.0004 0.0062 0.0086 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1341 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856307579 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 21/18* 12/6 +0.4855 ( -0.0998)
0.6197 0.3543 0.1383 - 0.3803 0.0388 0.0015 +0.6727 +0.4855 0.0026 0.0042 0.0064 - 0.0026 0.0016 0.0028 0.0089 0.0131 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1342 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856307579 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 3 R 21/18*/12 +0.4695 ( -0.1158)
0.6199 0.3475 0.1324 - 0.3801 0.0418 0.0028 +0.6553 +0.4695 0.0024 0.0041 0.0064 - 0.0024 0.0015 0.0007 0.0092 0.0132 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1342 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856307579 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 0 12/6 8/5 +0.2776 ( -0.3077) 0.6017 0.2756 0.0230 - 0.3983 0.0724 0.0013 5 0 21/15 8/5 +0.2433 ( -0.3420) 0.6103 0.2559 0.0189 - 0.3897 0.0968 0.0032
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