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GNU rollout has me sitting on the bus next to Ray

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 30 May 2009, at 6:39 p.m.

In Response To: GNU doesn't care for my play (neilkaz)

Why'd I hit here? Hmm..at first I thought not hitting was likely best, and then the gremlins crept into my thoughts and I was less sure..thus I hit since it seems more complicated. However, hitting is lots more wrong than I'd expected.

Also, in comparison to a W/C opp where I am 81.5 to 82% if I just win a single here, I am likely 83.5 to 84% vs this opp who's checker play isn't so good. This should also sway me when I am unsure, to just make the play that wins more games.

The score (after 9 games) is: PRO_TS_Redneck 5, neilkaz 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 37: neilkaz to play 63


 '2X2X1O2X2X1X ' ' '1X '

1X2X3O2X3O3O '4O ' ' '1O

Pip counts: PRO_TS_Redneck 162, neilkaz 107
Position ID: NlsIwCycOw8BBA Match ID: cAkvAVAAOAAA

• neilkaz moves 21/18*/12

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.7402(Money: +0.5548)
0.6475 0.3005 0.0210 - 0.3525 0.0604 0.0013
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.4498
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.5502
3.Double, take -0.5610 -1.0108
Proper cube action:No double, take (64.8%)

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.116)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 21/12 +0.5853
0.68550.25030.0532-0.31450.03360.0018 +0.6616 +0.5853
0.00180.00390.0044-0.00180.00100.0004 0.0062 0.0086
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1341 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856307579 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 21/18* 12/6 +0.4855 ( -0.0998)
0.61970.35430.1383-0.38030.03880.0015 +0.6727 +0.4855
0.00260.00420.0064-0.00260.00160.0028 0.0089 0.0131
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1342 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856307579 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 21/18*/12 +0.4695 ( -0.1158)
0.61990.34750.1324-0.38010.04180.0028 +0.6553 +0.4695
0.00240.00410.0064-0.00240.00150.0007 0.0092 0.0132
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1342 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856307579 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 0 12/6 8/5 +0.2776 ( -0.3077)
0.6017 0.2756 0.0230 - 0.3983 0.0724 0.0013
5 0 21/15 8/5 +0.2433 ( -0.3420)
0.6103 0.2559 0.0189 - 0.3897 0.0968 0.0032

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