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BGonline.org Forums
Chicago Final (64 to play)
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: Chicago Final (64 to play) (Coolrey)
Date: Sunday, 31 May 2009, at 11:46 p.m.
Tough play. You're now +17 in the race (after the roll) so getting off the anchor and trying to convert to a favorable race is very possible. You can run with either 20/10 or 20/14 20/16. 20/10 leaves too many rolls that hit and leave a 3 1/2 point board so running both off the 20 looks better to me. You can also point on the deuce. It's a little impure but Larry dances a quarter of the time which will give you lots of ways to run one man safely off the 20 or make another point in your board. OTOH, most of Larry's entering numbers cover his two point and leave you with some uncomfortable rolls next time. Another approach would be to play both off the mid. If Larry doesn't hit or make an advanced anchor, all those builders should be able to make a prime and win from there. But Larry has 13 ways to hit or anchor and I don't know if voluntarily separating your forces like this when you're up in the race is the way to go. White's 13 good numbers aren't devastating at all of course. If he anchors, you're still favored (I would think) and the game looks about even if he hits.
I think 2 men down from the mid wins a couple or a few percent more than pointing or running out with both, so 13/7 13/9 for me. I'll be interested reading what the others have to say and the RO for this play.
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