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A Giants Prediction Market.... nope

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 3:28 a.m.

In Response To: A Giants Prediction Market.... nope (Rod)

The problem with a prediction market on a tournament is that it will be rather useless. It will give the perceived strongest player in the field a 5% chance of winning the event and then someone will win and what will it have predicted? Prediction markets need questions with very few possible outcomes.

However, I'd bet a prediction market on the Giants list would be very accurate. So what that it is every 2 years. It would frankly be interesting to see how it changes as various tournament results trickle in.

Messages In This Thread

• Another way to measure a player's strength
  David -- Tuesday, 2 June 2009, at 9:18 p.m.
  • A Giants Prediction Market
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 2 June 2009, at 9:34 p.m.
    • A Giants Prediction Market
      Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 2 June 2009, at 9:51 p.m.
      • A Giants Prediction Market
        Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 2 June 2009, at 10:05 p.m.
        • A Giants Prediction Market
          Sam Pottle -- Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 2:23 a.m.
          • A Giants Prediction Market
            Coolrey -- Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 3:19 a.m.
        • A Giants Prediction Market
          Jake Jacobs -- Saturday, 6 June 2009, at 4:41 a.m.
    • A Giants Prediction Market....
      Rod -- Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 2:21 a.m.
      • A Giants Prediction Market....
        Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 2:31 a.m.
        • A Giants Prediction Market.... nope
          Rod -- Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 2:37 a.m.
          • A Giants Prediction Market.... nope
            Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 3:28 a.m.
  • Another way to measure a player's strength
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 2 June 2009, at 11:29 p.m.
    • Another way to measure a player's strength
      Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 2 June 2009, at 11:48 p.m.
      • Another way to measure a player's strength
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 2:18 a.m.