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Long rollout and OTB

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 3:16 p.m.

In Response To: What could be more simple? (neilkaz)

OTB I played the natural looking (at least to these eyes) 8/4. BG is a race and I didn't want to dump pips deep into my board or leave a bunch of blots to worry about later if I somehow am hit in a couple turns or if need them covered to help prevent White from running.

A deeper look at this position shows why the bot's 1(2) play may be best. I will have unpleasent 6's to play if I cannot soon clear some outfield point(s). After making the ace pt, I can play those 6's decently and I also may maximize my flexibility for later and be able to fill in a decent board.

I am not completely convinced of the results as maybe after 8/4 the bot will dump into the deep home board anyway, but these results are clear enough to nearly convince me. I started a Snowie rollout at home just in case..but doubt it will change anything.

The score (after 0 games) is: MCG 0, Neil 0 (match to 9 points)

Move number 4: Neil to play 13

MCG	121
Neil	110
Position ID: bLeBAQNmzmMGAA Match ID: cIksAQAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	4/1 2/1	+0.3955
			0.6162 0.0185 0.0005 - 0.3838 0.0324 0.0008 +0.2179 +0.3955 0.0006 0.0004 0.0001 - 0.0006 0.0007 0.0001 0.0015 0.0031
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2693 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856518550 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	6/3 2/1	+0.3880 ( -0.0075)
			0.6144 0.0185 0.0008 - 0.3856 0.0375 0.0012 +0.2091 +0.3880 0.0007 0.0005 0.0001 - 0.0007 0.0008 0.0001 0.0016 0.0032
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2692 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856518550 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	6/3 4/3	+0.3864 ( -0.0091)
			0.6123 0.0168 0.0005 - 0.3877 0.0322 0.0006 +0.2089 +0.3864 0.0007 0.0004 0.0001 - 0.0007 0.0007 0.0002 0.0016 0.0031
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2693 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856518550 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	4/3 4/1	+0.3701 ( -0.0254)
			0.6082 0.0186 0.0004 - 0.3918 0.0361 0.0007 +0.1986 +0.3701 0.0006 0.0005 0.0001 - 0.0006 0.0008 0.0001 0.0015 0.0031
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2692 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856518550 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	R	8/4	+0.3662 ( -0.0293)
			0.6080 0.0187 0.0005 - 0.3920 0.0341 0.0007 +0.2005 +0.3662 0.0006 0.0005 0.0001 - 0.0006 0.0007 0.0001 0.0015 0.0030
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2692 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856518550 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• What could be more simple?
  neilkaz -- Tuesday, 2 June 2009, at 12:00 p.m.
  • What could be more simple?
    joe freedman -- Tuesday, 2 June 2009, at 12:12 p.m.
  • What could be more simple?
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 2 June 2009, at 12:22 p.m.
  • What could be more simple?
    Havard Raddum -- Tuesday, 2 June 2009, at 1:02 p.m.
  • What could be more simple?
    Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 2 June 2009, at 1:40 p.m.
  • What could be more simple?
    Ian Shaw -- Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 10:06 a.m.
  • What could be more simple?
    Keene -- Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 2:21 p.m.
  • Long rollout and OTB
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 3:16 p.m.
    • Long rollout and OTB
      Keene -- Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 6:41 p.m.