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A real prediction market for backgammon....

Posted By: Barry Silliman
Date: Wednesday, 3 June 2009, at 10:42 p.m.

In Response To: A real prediction market for backgammon.... (Coolrey)

Ray, the guy with the most points has a 59% MWP, not 56%, not even counting a 6-2 record in matches that haven't yet been added to those stats. This is a huge difference over 451 matches, well within reach of the magical 60% threshold.

That same player's MWP is 62.5% in ABT Open play, including 71.4% in ABT Open play against players not named Ray Fogerlund.

I have a hunch that Ed O' and UBK will not have 74% and 67% MWP respectively at the Beltway club after 450 matches there if they would stop hiding from us in Europe and Las Vegas and Chicago and other places.

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