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Chicago Conso Semis 22 Rollout

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Saturday, 6 June 2009, at 4:06 p.m.

In Response To: Chicago Conso Semis 22 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I played this pretty bad. There are lots of legal candidates, so I tried to narrow them down systematically. rejected the 4 point quickly since it leaves two inner board blots and getting hit is bad. I was trying to decide between 11/9 6/2 (and something with the last two) or 11/3. Eventually I determined 11/9 was part of the move and then tried to figure out what I would do if I had a 6...which is just another way of overlooking the best move. I guess I had determined that 8/6 would be my only last good 2 if I covered the deuce point.

11/7 6/2 creates the most builders for the 4 & 3 point (& ace point), which seems to be the overriding issue.

The score (after 4 games) is: Stick 6, Matt Cohn-Geier 3 (match to 11 points)

Move number 12: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 22

Stick156


' '2X2O '4X '3X ' ' '2O

'1O1O '2O4O '1O1O '1O4X

Matt Cohn-Geier135

Position ID: jOfgAWDKnpIBBg Match ID: QQlpAWAAGAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 11/3

Alert: very bad move ( -0.084)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 11/7 6/2 +0.8490
0.71340.44620.0086-0.28660.07350.0039 +0.9026 +0.8490
0.00190.00270.0008-0.00190.00240.0005 0.0056 0.0066
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
803 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856218650 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 13/9 6/2 +0.8172 ( -0.0318)
0.70820.42630.0089-0.29180.07440.0040 +0.8733 +0.8172
0.00210.00260.0008-0.00210.00220.0008 0.0058 0.0067
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
802 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856218650 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 13/11 6/2 5/3 +0.7992 ( -0.0498)
0.70110.43370.0064-0.29890.07700.0059 +0.8621 +0.7992
0.00220.00260.0007-0.00220.00290.0017 0.0063 0.0077
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
802 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856218650 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
• 4 R 11/3 +0.7649 ( -0.0840)
0.69570.40600.0071-0.30430.06980.0030 +0.8277 +0.7649
0.00200.00260.0007-0.00200.00260.0007 0.0056 0.0064
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
802 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 856218650 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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