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OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 15 June 2009, at 6:19 p.m.

In Response To: A NEXT ? (neilkaz)

With my prime in this far and noting that I have good chances at a close out if David dances and that his chances suck if he anchors, I decided it was close but I hit. David managed to grasp every chance I gave him to save this game, (he'd rolled a super horror anti-joker 55 earlier and an awful 55 later this game) an anchored with an ace, but never really was able to threaten after I broke to finish my bearin.

The score (after 0 games) is: Jason Lee 0, neilkaz 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 5: neilkaz to play 23


7X6X1O '1X ' ' ' ' ' ' '

1X2O2O2O2O2O2O ' '1O ' '

Pip counts: Jason Lee 48, neilkaz 111
Position ID: fz8CACC2bSMARA Match ID: cAktAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R bar/20* +0.9417
0.97090.31420.0188-0.02910.00140.0000 +0.9417 +0.9417
0.00010.00270.0009-0.00010.00020.0000 0.0003 0.0003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
12960 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857718446 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R bar/22 10/8 +0.9359 ( -0.0059)
0.96790.10860.0057-0.03210.00070.0000 +0.9359 +0.9359
0.00010.00170.0005-0.00010.00020.0000 0.0002 0.0002
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
12960 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857718446 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 0 bar/22 7/5 +0.6374 ( -0.3043)
0.8187 0.1722 0.0067 - 0.1813 0.0451 0.0000
4 0 bar/22 3/1* +0.6253 ( -0.3164)
0.8127 0.2529 0.0085 - 0.1873 0.0729 0.0000
5 0 bar/22 4/2 +0.5166 ( -0.4251)
0.7583 0.1512 0.0051 - 0.2417 0.0531 0.0000

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