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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 17 June 2009, at 2:36 p.m.

In Response To: LA Super32 semis recube to 8 (Jason Lee)

Jason, I wouldn't lose much sleep about not recubing this, but I do think recubing is your best chance to win this match.

The score (after 0 games) is: Opp 8, Jason 3 (match to 13 points)

Move number 5: Jason on roll, cube decision?

Opp	48
Jason	55
Position ID: d3MHAIB3OwMIAA Match ID: UgmgAYAAGAAA

• Jason doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		-0.3701	(Money: -0.3701)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	-0.0024
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+1.0024
3.	No double	-0.0101	-0.0078
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Jason owns 4-cube 0.3149 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.6851 0.0000 0.0000 -0.3701 -0.0101 Standard error 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.0002 0.0009 Player Opp owns 8-cube 0.3149 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.6851 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0024 -0.0024 Standard error 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.0005 0.0005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
806 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857533938 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• LA Super32 semis recube to 8
  Jason Lee -- Monday, 15 June 2009, at 11:47 p.m.
  • LA Super32 semis recube to 8
    Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 12:11 a.m.
    • LA Super32 semis recube to 8
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 2:43 a.m.
      • LA Super32 semis recube to 8
        Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 2:51 a.m.
      • LA Super32 semis recube to 8
        Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 4:20 a.m.
  • LA Super32 semis recube to 8
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 12:59 a.m.
  • The cube decision that lead to this
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 2:47 a.m.
    • OTB..rollout etc.
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 3:51 p.m.
  • LA Super32 semis recube to 8
    Keene -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 3:17 a.m.
  • LA Super32 semis recube to 8
    Coolrey -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 3:41 a.m.
  • OTB thoughts
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 4:02 a.m.
  • Rollout
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 17 June 2009, at 2:36 p.m.
    • Rollout
      Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 17 June 2009, at 3:47 p.m.