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Another BG problem? ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Wednesday, 17 June 2009, at 11:29 p.m.

In Response To: Another BG problem? (Keene)

So, the size of the error to hit dropped dramatically, but still sizeable.

I went with 23/12*. I wanted to win a gammon, and giving my opp a free shot at doing something positive seemed wrong. I should have given more consideration to the bar point.

So, Chuck, just you and me for this one :)

The score (after 4 games) is: MishMish 6, kilted 3 (match to 7 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 12: kilted to play 65

MishMish	128
kilted	130
Position ID: 2M4NCQgmtx0AKA Match ID: QQn3AGAAGAAA

• kilted moves 23/12*

Alert: very bad move ( -0.132)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	24/18 23/18	+0.255
			0.514 0.109 0.009 - 0.486 0.158 0.019 +0.255 +0.255 0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.006 0.003 0.005 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857395394 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	23/12*	+0.124 ( -0.132)
			0.417 0.138 0.019 - 0.583 0.276 0.055 +0.124 +0.124 0.002 0.002 0.003 - 0.002 0.007 0.004 0.006 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857395394 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	9/4 9/3*	+0.016 ( -0.239)
			0.352 0.149 0.015 - 0.648 0.295 0.080 +0.016 +0.016 0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.007 0.005 0.006 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857395394 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	9/3* 8/3	-0.021 ( -0.276)
			0.340 0.143 0.017 - 0.660 0.277 0.059 -0.021 -0.021 0.002 0.002 0.003 - 0.002 0.007 0.004 0.006 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857395394 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	0	24/18 9/4	-0.072 ( -0.328)
			0.337 0.121 0.004 - 0.663 0.219 0.009

Messages In This Thread

• Another BG problem?
  Keene -- Monday, 15 June 2009, at 8:10 p.m.
  • Another BG problem?
    Rich Munitz -- Monday, 15 June 2009, at 8:39 p.m.
  • Another BG problem?
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 12:27 a.m.
    • Another BG problem?
      Keene -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 3:08 a.m.
  • Another BG problem?
    garyo -- Tuesday, 16 June 2009, at 7:51 a.m.
  • Another BG problem? ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Wednesday, 17 June 2009, at 11:29 p.m.