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Rollout..OTB ..etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 8:12 p.m.

In Response To: Another score based opening roll response (neilkaz)

OTB and knowing that hitting is right at GG, I hit here since it is quite hard for my opp to cube when I have several checkers in his board at this score and if I come out of hitting variations in good shape, I develop good cubing opportunities. I also hit bcuz I am somewhat stronger than this opp.

The score (after 0 games) is: Opp 3, Neil 0 (match to 5 points)

Move number 4: Neil to play 16

Opp158


2O ' ' ' '5X '4X ' ' '5O

1X ' ' '1X5O '3O ' ' '4X

Neil167

Position ID: 4PPgASHgc/ABMA Match ID: cIm4ADAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/7 6/5* +0.0554
0.47820.12960.0057-0.52180.20230.0480 -0.1016 +0.0554
0.00160.00120.0004-0.00160.00290.0026 0.0055 0.0077
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3781 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857586244 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 13/7 8/7 +0.0336 ( -0.0218)
0.48150.11280.0037-0.51850.15600.0262 -0.0793 +0.0336
0.00110.00110.0004-0.00110.00250.0018 0.0039 0.0056
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3782 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857586244 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 2 24/18 6/5* -0.0352 ( -0.0906)
0.4700 0.1082 0.0042 - 0.5300 0.1631 0.0062
4 0 13/6 -0.1156 ( -0.1710)
0.4422 0.1085 0.0024 - 0.5578 0.1478 0.0055
5 0 24/23 24/18 -0.1218 ( -0.1772)
0.4544 0.0882 0.0023 - 0.5456 0.1586 0.0036

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