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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 17 April 2007, at 6:30 p.m.

In Response To: Cleveland Match Cube (Stick)

A very small technical error (esp. in MWC) to cube here. I doubled and was later told I was crazy for cubing. I tossed 54 from the bar and went on to sploosh the game and the match.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: user to play 43

gnubg	121
user	106
Position ID: m3XACAZ2dgMDQA Match ID: cAluAQAAAAAA

• user doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0182)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3256	(Money: +0.3251)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.3433
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.6567
3.	Double, take	+0.3250	-0.0182
Proper cube action:		No double, take (2.7%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.5957 0.2224 0.0059 - 0.4043 0.0934 0.0012 +0.3256 +0.3433 Standard error 0.0012 0.0019 0.0004 - 0.0012 0.0013 0.0002 0.0032 0.0069 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.6008 0.2152 0.0048 - 0.3992 0.0876 0.0013 +0.6807 +0.3250 Standard error 0.0013 0.0020 0.0004 - 0.0013 0.0014 0.0002 0.0066 0.0111
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1057576673 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Cleveland Match Cube
  Stick -- Monday, 16 April 2007, at 7:44 a.m.
  • Re: Cleveland Match Cube
    Chase -- Monday, 16 April 2007, at 5:41 p.m.
  • Re: Cleveland Match Cube
    neilkaz -- Monday, 16 April 2007, at 6:00 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 17 April 2007, at 6:30 p.m.