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Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 20 June 2009, at 8:35 a.m.

In Response To: Don't Agree with me (Stick)

I don't get it and I'd still play 12/5. Sax played 12/5 OtB, I played it when I saw it. Maybe I'll take time later today to try to understand why it might be wrong but for now I'm marking it up to a .06 I'm simply not going to try to understand.

gnubg	105
user	67
Position ID: 3c4AzADbWwMDAA Match ID: QYkRAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	6/2 5/2	+0.4264
			0.7358 0.0761 0.0003 - 0.2642 0.0155 0.0003 +0.5322 +0.4264 0.0024 0.0033 0.0002 - 0.0024 0.0014 0.0001 0.0050 0.0078
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			218 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857617790 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	12/5	+0.3628 ( -0.0636)
			0.6796 0.1533 0.0006 - 0.3204 0.0061 0.0001 +0.5069 +0.3628 0.0023 0.0031 0.0042 - 0.0023 0.0014 0.0001 0.0055 0.0085
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			218 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857617790 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

---

# Ply Move Equity 1 R 6/2 5/2 0.425 Live cube rollout: 0.427 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.523 ±0.007, - live cube: 0.427 ±0.008. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 90445 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 8 pts, random seed, with race database. 2 R 12/5 0.387 (-0.038) Live cube rollout: 0.365 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.504 ±0.006, - live cube: 0.365 ±0.009. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 130995 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 8 pts, random seed, with race database. Messages In This Thread Don't Agree with me Stick -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 10:10 a.m. Don't Agree with me pontiac -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 11:05 a.m. Don't Agree with me John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 2:02 p.m. Don't Agree with me Bob Koca -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 2:02 p.m. Don't Agree with me Petter Bengtsson -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 2:13 p.m. Don't Agree with me Coolrey -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 2:33 p.m. Don't Agree with me Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 3:17 p.m. Don't Agree with me mikeg -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 3:17 p.m. Don't Agree with me neilkaz -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 4:30 p.m. Don't Agree with me Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 5:04 p.m. Rollouts Stick -- Saturday, 20 June 2009, at 8:35 a.m.   Post Response Your Name: Your E-Mail Address: Subject: Message: If necessary, enter your password below: Password:     [ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ] BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.