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Rollouts
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Don't Agree with me (Stick)
Date: Saturday, 20 June 2009, at 8:35 a.m.
I don't get it and I'd still play 12/5. Sax played 12/5 OtB, I played it when I saw it. Maybe I'll take time later today to try to understand why it might be wrong but for now I'm marking it up to a .06 I'm simply not going to try to understand.
gnubg 105
user 67 Position ID: 3c4AzADbWwMDAA Match ID: QYkRAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 6/2 5/2 +0.4264
0.7358 0.0761 0.0003 - 0.2642 0.0155 0.0003 +0.5322 +0.4264 0.0024 0.0033 0.0002 - 0.0024 0.0014 0.0001 0.0050 0.0078 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 218 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857617790 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 2 R 12/5 +0.3628 ( -0.0636)
0.6796 0.1533 0.0006 - 0.3204 0.0061 0.0001 +0.5069 +0.3628 0.0023 0.0031 0.0042 - 0.0023 0.0014 0.0001 0.0055 0.0085 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 218 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857617790 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Snowie4 Professional Edition Version 4.7.1 HTML Export
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 6/2 5/2 0.425 Live cube rollout: 0.427 95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.523 ±0.007,
- live cube: 0.427 ±0.008.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
1296 games (equiv. 90445 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
settlement 0.550 at 8 pts,
random seed, with race database.2 R 12/5 0.387 (-0.038) Live cube rollout: 0.365 95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.504 ±0.006,
- live cube: 0.365 ±0.009.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
1296 games (equiv. 130995 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
settlement 0.550 at 8 pts,
random seed, with race database.
- Don't Agree with me
Stick -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 10:10 a.m.
- Don't Agree with me
pontiac -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 11:05 a.m.
- Don't Agree with me
John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 2:02 p.m.
- Don't Agree with me
Bob Koca -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 2:02 p.m.
- Don't Agree with me
Petter Bengtsson -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 2:13 p.m.
- Don't Agree with me
Coolrey -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 2:33 p.m.
- Don't Agree with me
Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 3:17 p.m.
- Don't Agree with me
mikeg -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 3:17 p.m.
- Don't Agree with me
neilkaz -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 4:30 p.m.
- Don't Agree with me
Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 18 June 2009, at 5:04 p.m.
- Rollouts
Stick -- Saturday, 20 June 2009, at 8:35 a.m.
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